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June 16, 2009

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Another paper, by B. Roukema, investigates Bendford's law as it applies to the Iranian election, and does claim to find a discrepancy: "The null hypothesis that the vote count distributions satisfy these distributions" -- i.e. Benford's law -- "is rejected at a significance of p<=0.007, based on the presence of 41 vote counts for candidate K that start with the digit 7, compared to an expected 21.2–22 occurrences expected for the null hypothesis.". You can download the paper by clicking the PDF link to the right of the abstract.

Another paper, by B. Roukema, investigates Bendford's law as it applies to the Iranian election, and does claim to find a discrepancy: "The null hypothesis that the vote count distributions satisfy these distributions" -- i.e. Benford's law -- "is rejected at a significance of p<=0.007, based on the presence of 41 vote counts for candidate K that start with the digit 7, compared to an expected 21.2–22 occurrences expected for the null hypothesis.". You can download the paper by clicking the PDF link to the right of the abstract

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