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May 01, 2013

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While the visualizations are nice, I think they kind of miss the point. Not only are you concerned with the odds of picking up a high skill player, NFL teams should also be concerned about how much they're paying for those odds. It seems to me that many teams pay way too much for the first pick. Imagine you could draft 10 players for the cost of one first rounder - your value may be higher in the second case.

Statistics should be about comparisons, and in this case I don't think the comparison should be talent between rounds, but value between rounds.

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