Reader SK has collected the most recent data on R's package growth, through the latest 2.10 release. The three most recent releases fall slightly below the exponential growth line, which isn't altogether surprising (that's a lot of growth to sustain!). Another interesting thing to look at would be the combined rate of new packages submitted to CRAN and packages updated on CRAN: as R packages begin to cover the domain space of possible applications I'd expect updates to be where much of the package activity lies.
For anyone interested, the raw data (as calculated by SK) is available after the jump.
vers count date 1.3 110 2001-06-21 1.4 129 2001-12-17 1.5 161 2002-06-12 1.6 163 1.7 219 2003-05-25 1.8 273 2003-11-16 1.9 357 2004-06-05 2.0 406 2004-10-12 2.1 548 2005-06-18 2.2 647 2005-12-16 2.3 739 2006-05-31 2.4 911 2006-12-12 2.5 1000 2007-04-12 2.6 1300 2007-11-16 2.7 1495 2008-03-18 2.8 1614 2008-10-20 2.9 1907 2009-04-17 2.10 2008 2009-10-26
I suspect that we need account for fragmentation -- the other chart on r-help participation showed volumes level off. But that simply omitted the rise in r-sig-* postings which were added to later versions of John's presentation / paper.
Similarly, I suspect we also need to chart R-Forge growth in terms of packages (and users).
Posted by: Dirk Eddelbuettel | January 07, 2010 at 12:47
Good points. Should also be considering Bioconductor as well as R-Forge to address the fragmentation in the packages, I guess.
Posted by: David Smith | January 08, 2010 at 09:09