« R Project websites down | Main | Interview with Revolution CEO Norman Nie »

April 27, 2010

Comments

Feed You can follow this conversation by subscribing to the comment feed for this post.

Even the most intelligent people are consistently tripped up by conditional probability calculations. At times, re-sampling techniques that approximate solutions might be simpler than Bayesian arithmetic.

http://www.information-management.com/blogs/business_intelligence_bi-10016732-1.html

Sorry, but you are wrong. This intuitive reasoning is, in fact, Bayes rule. The only difference is rounding.
See prof. Gelman's blog about this.

The comments to this entry are closed.

Search Revolutions Blog




Got comments or suggestions for the blog editor?
Email David Smith.
Follow revodavid on Twitter Follow David on Twitter: @revodavid
Get this blog via email with Blogtrottr